Genocide Warnings for 2026
by J. B. Gerald 

With at least twenty countries in danger there are four obvious genocides currently in progress and these are likely to continue:

    1. Palestine. Israel's genocide of Palestinians continues by withholding of survival aid, starvation and military actions in Gaza despite a superficial cease fire, and begins in the West Bank which is gradually illegally being taken over. Nations have not intervened to stop a genocide progressing with impunity due partly to portions of each country's economic structure, supporting the Israeli military and economy

    2. Sudan: the genocide, initially promulgated by a foreign struggle for Sudan's resources continues with starvation augmented by military massacres of civilians. Over time it becomes clear that the Great Lakes region of Africa was subjected to Euro-American military planning affecting the genocide in Rwanda, the formation of South Sudan, and the destruction of Sudan. More countries are interested in Sudan's resources so a consensus suggesting complicity in genocide may exist among the U.S. Egypt, United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Israel, and others.

    3. Eastern Democratic Republic of Congo: the genocide of the local peoples continues despite a false peace treaty between Rwanda and the DRC as arranged by the U.S. to assure its access to defence related minerals. Sources of the genocide rest with Euro-American demands for the area's resources. The region has lost at least six million Africans since 1996 to warfare that serves non-African economic interests.

    4. Myanmar: the genocide of the Rohingya among other minority groups, is recognized by Canada, and continues. It is countered only by the armed resistance of the victim groups. Lack of international intervention as required by the U.N. Convention on Genocide can be traced to the Myanmar military government's alliances with Russia and China. For instance the Rohingya homeland hosts Chinese processing plants and a pipeline carrying oil and gas to China. These facilities are threatened by rebel groups. Only half the original Rohingya population remains in Myanmar.

The common thread to these genocides is the acquisition of the victim group's resources. The more genocides we're aware of the more often we find the recurring theme of resource stripping.

The concept of genocide and our individual horror at its evil is being normalized by the great powers proceeding under the guise of "development." The old hatreds of individual groups, races, peoples, engineered by colonization are increasingly rationalized by the standard business practices which profit from a group's destruction. The tactic of genocide is being accepted in the media as normal business procedure. But any areas where capitalism is allowed to function without strong restraints risk partaking in genocide.

A primary difficulty with the expansion of corporate markets and takeover of regions for access to or impounding of resources is that the need for profits replaces the concern for the region's people who under truly democratic government are the owners of the resources. To avoid a confrontation with true democracy then, the people are killed. Or they are subjugated by assassination of the leaders that best represent their interests as they were in the States by assassination of the Kennedys, Dr. King, Malcolm X, or were in Africa by the assasinations of Patrice Lumumba, Thomas Sankara, etc.. The mass annhilation of the people as in the four genocides noted above is a more rapid process of acquisition.

Aside from laws against mass murder the intentional destruction of a national group falls within the prohibitions of the U.N. "Convention of the Punishment and Prevention of the Crime of Genocide." We see the conquest, occupation and demand for subservience of one country after another and note that foreign control is soon accompanied by destruction of the country's native resistance, destroying its culture and the institutions that protect the people's traditions. It becomes increasingly hard to differentiate economic takeovers from cultural genocide, and military takeovers from the genocide of any lasting group of native resistance.

In some instances as in China's open and ongoing attempt to assimilate the Uyghur people into the Han Chinese culture by forced intermarriage, what is technically a genocide is conducted as a social program of integration. There's some parallel to South Carolina in the 1700's where schooling was available to "Whites" and "Negroes" but not to "Others," so for an education First Peoples had to marry into one of the two primary groups. Euro-Americans claiming the Uyghur are facing a genocide risk enlisting Uyghur resistance into becoming enemies of the state in China which will increase the state's oppression. The problem of forced assimilation shows no concern for what the Uyghur people want. Usually substantial genocides occurring under Communist regimes are sourced in survival of the greatest number of people. Stalin's Holodomor in the Soviet Ukraine starved out the region to feed collectives throughout Russia during a famine. Pol Pot's murder of a quarter of the population of Cambodia was sourced in the country's inability to feed its full population after the U.S. B-52's destroyed the nation's food resources. While the terrible atrocities by the state may claim to have an aspect of necessity, that didn't lessen the terror and helplessness in the deaths of the millions of innocent victims.

Aware then of what state management is capable of under ethics professing care for the people above profit, what do we really expect from the very rich acting as the "free" world's leaders when they are faced with decisions that affect humanity? Apparently it is almost impossible to identify and counter a full genocide when it is activated and accomplished by your own government. But in the West, or in what we like to think of as democracies, we have built some tools such as the U.N.'s Convention on Genocide and the International courts, and we have lived histories which should teach us how to survive resisting the unacceptable.

Once the tactical use of genocide for acquisition is recognized, if we consider U.S. threats against Venezuela it's clear that the U.S. wants to assume Venezuela's oil reserves, and that the Venezuelan people, if invaded, will resist thoroughly. If invaded the result could be the genocide of the national group by outrageously superior U.S. military power. The response of the international community may present impediment to that. Yet the risked slaughter of the Venezuelan people is clear.

U.S. aggression against Venezuela is an extension of well established U.S. corporate policy in the Americas. The use of genocide as a tactic of population control has been clarified, documented and judged as genocide in Guatemala where the struggles to control and expunge the Indigenous population continue to survive attempts of domestic judiciary and international human rights law, to make North American corporate interests accountable.

Haiti is currently hosting a U.N. force of a thousand which will add 5500 with the professed aim, of controlling the gang leaders who have assumed power in portions of the country. A difficulty is that the "gang leaders" often represent the remains of Haitian native resistance to foreign takeover. An ongoing war against the Haitian people has been waged covertly by France since Haiti's Independence. U.S. participation is more recent and based more rationally on stripping Haiti of its resources. U.S. based Newmont Corporation is expecting a change in Haitian mining law allowing it to proceed with projects requiring the additional protection of a UN army.

Lebanon and Syria are both under threat of Israel's military expansion supported by the U.S.. The U.S. already occupies Syrian oil fields. Both countries risk becoming part of a "greater Israel" at a terrible cost to the national groups and cultures of the victim peoples. So there is a risk of genocide through occupation to peoples who have already lost substantial portions of their populations to death or emigration.

Iraq and Afghanistan have endured extensive use of depleted uranium weaponry by the U.S. and are victims of a military program which may cause the eventual destruction of the national, group, ie. genocide. The effects of D.U. and chemical exposure, the rates of infant mortality, birth defects, fertility rates, rising disease rates, will eventually be documented. A similar genocide warning and expectation of permanent environmental damage is suggested for what was called Yugoslavia which has also suffered attack by D.U. weaponry. A difficulty in countering military use of depleted uranium is economic - D.U. munitions come from the enrichment process of the uranium used for nuclear power which gives value to the waste generated by the nuclear industry.

Nigeria: Christians are under threat from the government's neglect and in Igbo regions, direct persecution. U.S. funding of arms to the government is providing an Anglo-U.S. base of operations in the region against Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger, which are making use of Russian and Chinese technology to develop what Ibrahim Traoré counsels is self sufficiency. A difficulty is that Anglo-American policies object to African development of self-sufficiency. Chinese investment in African infrastructures is often very considerate of the country's people, which Western corporations see as a threat. Nigeria's Christian population (about 50%) is set against its 50% Muslims so the country can be controlled by foreign interests. An ongoing genocide warning is likely for the national groups of Burkina Faso, Mali and Niger. In 2026 Nigeria may extend its interest in oil resources past the Igbo lands of Biafra to Cameroon's Ambazonia across the border, where the Francophone government of Cameroon is holding at bay an Anglophone insurrection. And to the north of Ambazonia Cameroon is holding off attacks by the IS Jihadists who take refuge in northern Nigeria.

Regionally in West Africa both Cameroon and Gabon have also developed workable ties to Russia and China. This may be met by increased IS Jihadist and Ambazonian military actions against the government of Cameroon, as the Anglo-American efforts for influence and control of African resources continue. Gabon which has remained at peace since Independence in 1960 currently hosts sizable U.S. oil investment which may discourage Euro-American destabilization.

Ukraine: useful to the corporate warfare policies of NATO, the people of the Ukraine are gradually being sacrificed to war. So are Russian soldiers. Russia claimed to have entered the Ukraine initially to protect Russian-Ukrainian ethnic groups subject to being destroyed in their homeland. This occurred after the political balance of the region was disrupted by a CIA takeover of the Ukraine. The loss of hundreds of thousands of Ukrainians and Russians coincides with the Western corporate purchase of the Ukraine's resources. A genocide warning for all Ukrainians; the country's native resistance is being taken out entirely.

India: Muslims, Christians, Dalits, Sikhs, and other groups continue to be at risk of genocide due to the ruling ethic of Prime Minister Modi's nationalist BJP party. The people of Kashmir under India's occupation continue to endure the destruction of their country's sovereignty and culture.

U.S.: all people of colour in the U.S. are faced with the following trends: increasing prejudice furthered by the current administration's overt racism, the growing income inequality, the increased lack of access to health care, decreasing political representation, lack of civil rights, lack of safe environments. An early genocide warning which is extended to all the U.S. poor. The budgetary extreme preference for the defence industry suggests the country is arming for global war while legislating an automatic registration for the draft. War is a primary way to reduce population, primarily of the poor.

Genocide leaves a footprint of death, and a footprint of profit. Humanity hasn't been able to stop the atrocities of mass killing, partly because in one way or another so many are paid to look the other way. But the footprint of profit is also indelible and provides humanity a way to identify the promulgators of a genocide and apply justice. It should be made very dangerous to profit from war. Companies supplying weapons, or underwriting and protecting genocidal states must be held accountable. Accountable to laws against genocide, at court. Accountable to the codes of human decency as with the judgment expressed by boycott. Aren't these preferable to the tragedies of a people's wartime resistance even when the people win?  

"Genocide Warnings for 2026"
by John Bart Gerald
First posted Night's Lantern. December 21, 2025.

 

gerald and maas
posted 21 december 2025